A new study introduces a global probabilistic forecasting model that predicts when and where ionospheric disturbances—measured by the Rate of total electron content (TEC) Index (ROTI)—are likely to ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Billions of dollars’ worth of cancer drugs are discarded each year. Manufacturers must refund Medicare for some of this waste ...

We develop methodology to bridge scenario analysis and risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. The methodology, rooted in Bayesian analysis, addresses the ...

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has introduced a new suite of weather forecasting models that are driven by Artificial Intelligence and are expected to deliver faster and more ...

Statistical models predict stock trends using historical data and mathematical equations. Common statistical models include regression, time series, and risk assessment tools. Effective use depends on ...

A Technical Assistance (TA) mission was conducted in Guatemala City, Guatemala, from June 12 to 16, 2023, to assist the authorities with the statistical component of liquidity management. The TA ...

After a merciful lack of hurricanes in the U.S. and an unusually quiet Gulf of Mexico, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season wasn’t too memorable in Louisiana. But the season will be remembered for ...

In the run-up to the winter storm currently pummeling much of the U.S., weather forecasts for some regions were all over the map, with snowfall predictions varying wildly. Nvidia couldn’t have timed ...